ISSN(Print):   2664-0422 - ISSN(Online):   2664-0430 - ISSN-L:   2664-0422
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PAKISTAN SOCIAL SCIENCES REVIEW (PSSR)

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RESEARCH OF SOCIAL SCIENCES (SMC-PRIVATE) LIMITED(ROSS) & PAKISTAN SOCIAL SCIENCES REVIEW (PSSR) adheres to Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial 4.0 International License. The authors submitting and publishing in PSSR agree to the copyright policy under creative common license 4.0 (Attribution-Non Commercial 4.0 International license). Under this license, the authors published in PSSR retain the copyright including publishing rights of their scholarly work and agree to let others remix, tweak, and build upon their work non-commercially. All other authors using the content of PSSR are required to cite author(s) and publisher in their work. Therefore, RESEARCH OF SOCIAL SCIENCES (SMC-PRIVATE) LIMITED(ROSS) & PAKISTAN SOCIAL SCIENCES REVIEW (PSSR) follow an Open Access Policy for copyright and licensing.

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Climate Variability and Wheat Crop Yield in Pakistan: Analyzing Food Security Prospects in Selected Agro Climatic Zones

Abstract

Wheat is the staple crop of Pakistan constituting major share of dietary needs of its population. This study examines the impact of climate variability on wheat crop yield in the selected agro-ecological zones of Pakistan. The data on annual aggregate wheat yield, mean variation of temperature and rainfall in the sowing season of wheat crop, and fertilizer was collected from 1994 until 2018 on 15 districts of five agro-climatic zones. The production function approach was employed, and empirical model was tested using fixed effect regression (FEM). Results indicate that increase in temperature variability will decrease wheat yield by 1.53%. However, the impact has varied implications for selected zones. In high temperature zones, a slight variability of temperature in sowing season can decrease annual wheat yield while in other regions where temperature follows normal trend in sowing season, it can enhance wheat yield. Considering varying geographical characteristic of agro-ecological zones, the region specific policies need to be devised to address adverse implications of climatic variations on the availability of staple food.

Authors

  • Anila Sultana
  • Ph. D Scholar, Department of Economics, University of Karachi, Sindh, Pakistan

Keywords

Agro Ecological Zone, Climate Variability, Food Security, Estimation Production Function, Staple Crop

DOI Number

10.35484/pssr.2020(4-IV)02

DOI Link

http://doi.org/10.35484/pssr.2020(4-IV)02

Page Nos

16-28

Volume & Issue

v4-4

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Creative Commons License
Pakistan Social Sciences Review (PSSR) by RESEARCH OF SOCIAL SCIENCES (SMC-PRIVATE) LIMITED(ROSS) is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at https://pssr.org.pk/

Pakistan Social Sciences Review (PSSR), Developed by M. Yaseen

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